Hawkes process

Quantifying uncertainty in a predictive model for popularity dynamics

The Hawkes process is a form of point process which is self-exciting in nature, implying that the occurrence of events increases the likelihood of further events in the future. This process has garnered much attention in recent years for its …

Branching Processes and their Application to Popularity Dynamics

Arising from a desire to understand the likelihood of a family name becoming extinct, branching processes have a rich history and have been shown to be applicable to a wide range of domains. The simplest description of these processes is the case …